14 06 10	A.S. 99.231.139.81
The outcome of the battle to succeed Bill Murdoch turned out kind of inevitably, especially in light of the Green schism--but there was weird stuff going on; the fact that both Liberals and Greens ran South Grey municipal politician/leader sorts brought the PC vote *down* in a zone where it was traditionally strong. But still--the end result was PC, in a landslide. Not quite 50%; but given all the vote splits, it might as well have been 50%. Really; the only way the OLP can budge it at this point is by way of a virtual-reality Eddie Sargent...
	14 05 28	R.O. 24.146.23.226
The incredible green run here in 07 seems to have been a one time thing and greens moved on to other ridings . and riding has gone back to more normal voting patterns . Bill Walker is once again running for the Ontario pc's and don't see why he won't be back for another term .
	14 05 08	Numbers Pundit 209.239.28.137
A common refrain often heard lately is 'keep your eye on the Green Party.' The Greens encountered a massive bump in the 2007 provincial and 2008 federal elections exclusively where their results were 31% (07) and 27% (08). Since then, the ebb toward Green candidates flowed away returning to the usual numbers of 10% federally in 2011 and 6.4% provincially the same year (the Green candidate placed 4th). True this riding and its demographics heavily favour the Tories with the small-c conservative populist inclinations of its voters and the folksy MPs and MPP they send to Ottawa and Toronto respectively. Despite being a 'blue' riding I would caution observers that it is not as 'blue' as some may imagine. Even during the heyday of Bill Murdoch's 21 years as MPP, he won over 50% of the vote 3 out of 5 elections, failing to best 50% in 1990 and 2007 respectively. Indeed many ridings that defeated Tory incumbents in 2003 in several GTA ridings, re-elected them with 60% or greater in 1999, far out-pacing Murdoch's 54% in the same cycle. Today even, despite federal MP Larry Miller holding the seat for a decade and contesting 4 elections, only in 2011 did he cross 50%, obtaining 56% in his best result yet. By comparison, Murdoch's successor Bill Walker took 47.3% 5 months later. As the shores of Georgian Bay continue to be more affordable than comparable vacation property in the six and seven figure haunts of Muskoka, more and more GTA and Toronto residents are choosing to retire to areas surrounding Collingwood and the Georgian Highlands. That means even blue voters' right-ward leanings can/will become slightly more neutralized. The trends and statistics aside, the riding's status as a reliable and consistent Tory constituency is in no jeopardy. Anyone who believes however any riding in Ontario safe in one party's hands forever is ignoring the history of elections in the province since 1987 (provincially) and 1993 (federally).
	14 05 04	monkey 174.114.16.226
The Reform Party back in the 90s almost won this and has long been one of the bluest ridings in Ontario so should stay PC. The real battle is do they get over 50% or not. I am going to guess they do narrowly. The Greens are strong in Owen Sound and Bruce peninsula, but quite weak elsewhere so the PC strength elsewhere will easily put them over the top never mind the Greens are largely ignored so any talk of gains for them seems unlikely at this point. The greens are a lot stronger in BC so one should not assume their wins there will translate in Ontario.
	13 05 17	Teddy Boragina 198.96.35.90
Bruce-Grey, and more importantly, Owen Sound is a target for the Greens. I think the Ontario Greens will look at what happened in BC, Federally and Provincially, and say 'We should try this'. This is one of the 3 ridings where they stand the best chance to win. I'm thus predicting this as TCTC for the time being.
	13 03 02	northerner 76.67.27.218
Rural southwestern Ontario. Guarenteed slam dunk for Hudak and co.
	13 02 15	LFC Ottawa 70.30.21.69
This seat has always gone PC, and nothing will change. Give Walker 50% of the vote.