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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011

Prince George-Mackenzie


Prediction Changed
2013-05-15 08:38:56
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Deepak, Bobby

McDowell, Karen

Morris, Mike

Rysz, Terry

Incumbent:
Pat Bell

Reference:

  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order


    2009 Result:


    Pat Bell*
    981656.05%
    Tobias Lawrence
    645236.84%
    Kevin Creamore
    1,2457.11%


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    13 05 09 Ilovepolitics
    70.77.36.143
    Surprisingly Mike Morris who stepped into replace Pat Bell is doing very well in this riding. He seems to be quietly winning back BC Liberals who were thinking about a Conservative alternative. Bobby Deepak who had been campaigning for a year but is less well known in the community is getting some extra help from both Carol James and Lois Boone. The NDP candidate seems to more frantic and less cocky. I predict a Mike Morris win and I don't think it will be close.
    13 04 27 NO PARTISAN BS
    99.253.118.143
    With the NDP vote holding at its floor of 45%, and the troubles of the incumbent, the only issue here is the extent of the Liberal loss. Dead incumbent walking.
    13 04 25 Laurence Putnam
    204.244.83.122
    Next door, Shirley Bond is in for the fight of her life - and while it's slim I do think she has a chance. No chance here.
    13 04 05 bza
    75.152.122.172
    With the incumbent not running again, scandals, and a big drop in the polls for the Liberals I think the Prince George ridings will likely go NDP.
    This was also a riding that was held when the NDP were in government.
    13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    99.253.117.108
    Scandal and desire for change makes this the more likely Prince George seat to fall to the NDP. The lack of an incumbent makes the hold for the Liberals even harder. This appears to be another domino falling to the NDP.
    13 02 18 jimbomjones
    99.236.35.83
    This is usually a bellweather riding, or at least it has been in the past five elections. With incumbent Pat Bell leaving, the NDP candidate already in place and the Liberals behind in the polls, the NDP may have a good shot in this seat.



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