Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2011

Nepean-Carleton


Prediction Changed
2011-10-06 22:37:37
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Dagenais, Ric

Dransfield, Don

Kubanek, Gordon

MacLeod, Lisa

Rossi, Marco

Toutant, Roger

Incumbent:
Lisa MacLeod

Reference:

  • Federal Riding Prediction
  • Previous Prediction - 2007 Provincial Election


    2007 Result:


    * LISA MACLEOD
    27,07050.28%
    JAI AGGARWAL
    17,73132.94%
    GORDON KUBANEK
    4,5008.36%
    TRISTAN MAACK
    4,0007.43%
    SUZANNE FORTIN
    5330.99%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1700537.04%
    2385851.97%
    308606.72%


  •  


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    11 09 21 A.S.
    99.233.218.204
    Just as in Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke, the already-safe provincial incumbent has an added ace-in-the-hole advantage: she's more civil than her federal counterpart. In the event of a Hudak majority, who knows; she might get as much as 2/3 of the vote...
    11 08 07 R.O.
    24.146.23.226
    This has become a fairly reliable conservative area in recent years and with Lisa Macleods strong performance as mpp its likely to continue. she has become one of the parties more successful mpp's and very high profile in the Ottawa area. the liberals still have a presence in the riding and strong in Ottawa but this riding stay conservative.
    11 07 11
    99.246.96.202
    For those that want change, best off to move because she will hold onto her seat. Even if it is only by a thread, she will retain it.
    With PP being in there federally, be too hard for anybody to win it. Unless you crack down on the PC about the green jobs of tomorrow, real estate crisis, and the fact there is a lot of CRAP influence there.
    11 05 12 will87
    99.225.164.164
    This riding has been rather safe provincially for the Progressive Conservatives for a number of years. John Baird was the MPP before Lisa and Pierre Pollievre (spelling?) is now firmly entrenched as the Conservative MP. This riding is going nothing, but blue.
    11 02 19 Craig
    70.30.72.61
    Very popular in this solidly conservative riding, Lisa MacLeod should be easily re-elected and is likely headed to a Cabinet post if the PC's form government. The margin of victory should increase as well as the Liberals focus on playing defence in marginal ridings and not pick up new seats. Look for this race to be called early.



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