Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Arfon


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 20:26:52
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Labour Party
Alun Pugh
UK Independence Party
Elwyn Williams
Plaid Cymru
Hywel Williams
Conservative Party
Robin Millar
Liberal Democrats
Sarah Green

Incumbent:
Hywel Williams
Caernarfon (53.1 %)
Mrs Betty Williams
Conwy (32.7 %)

Electorate:
Current
42998
2005
42304

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
9223
3898
3216
8968
Other
581

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
A big Labour / PC marginal; Labour are polling 10 points down in Wales over 2005 - surely a PC pick-up.
Ladbrokes: PC 1/10; Lab 6/1.
10 04 24 Adrian Bailey
82.36.129.101
With Labour weakened, Plaid should take this easily.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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