Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Pontypridd


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
David Bevan
Christian Party
Donald Watson
Plaid Cymru
Ioan Bellin
Green Party
John Matthews
Conservative Party
Lee Gonzalez
Liberal Democrats
Mike Powell
Labour Party
Owen Smith
Socialist Labour Party
Simon Parsons

Incumbent:
Dr Kim Howells
Pontypridd (86 %)

Electorate:
Current
54122
2005
55960

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18831
3965
6279
3891
Other
1119

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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