Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Newport East


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
David J Rowlands
Conservative Party
Dawn Parry
Liberal Democrats
Ed Townsend
Plaid Cymru
Fiona Cross
Labour Party
Jessica Morden
British National Party
Keith Jones
Socialist Labour Party
Liz Screen

Incumbent:
Jessica Morden
Newport East (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
56355
2005
54956

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
14388
7459
7552
1223
Other
1203

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
LDs 2nd but only just last time; probably too big a margin to overcome. Lab Hold.
Wales numbers:
2010 (Apr 20 YouGov): Lab 33, LD 29, Con 23, PC 9
2005 election: Lab 43, Con 21, LD 18, PC 13
Ladbrokes: Lab 1/2; LD 2/1.



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