Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Adam Brown
Socialist Labour Party
Alan Brian Cowdell
Liberal Democrats
Amy Kitcher
Independent
Clive Tovey
Labour Party
Dai Havard
Plaid Cymru
Glyndwr Cennydd Jones
Conservative Party
Maria Hill
British National Party
Richard Barnes

Incumbent:
Mr Dai Havard
Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
55476
2005
54578

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18128
2680
4192
2973
Other
2001

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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