Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Blaenau Gwent


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Socialist Labour Party
Alyson O'Connell
British National Party
Anthony King
Independent
Dai Davies
UK Independence Party
Dr Mike Kocan
Conservative Party
Liz Stevenson
Liberal Democrats
Matt Smith
Labour Party
Nick Smith
Plaid Cymru
Rhodri Davies

Incumbent:
Dai Davies
Blaenau Gwent (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
53120
2005
53300

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
11385
817
1510
840
Minor
Parties
20506
Other
192

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
Labour aiming to take this back from Independent Dai Davies. Lost by Labour in 2005 over the imposition of an all-women shortlist. Davies the 2nd independent to hold it since.
Former seat of Michael Foot and Nye Bevan, but it is hard to see Labour gaining much, with national trends.
Ladbrokes: Davies 8/11, Lab 1, others 100/1



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