Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Aberconwy


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:07:29
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Guto Bebb
Christian Party
Louise Wynne Jones
Liberal Democrats
Mike Priestley
UK Independence Party
Mike Wieteska
Plaid Cymru
Phil Edwards
Labour Party
Ronnie Hughes

Incumbent:
Mrs Betty Williams
Conwy (67.3 %)
Mr Elfyn Llwyd
Meirionnydd Nant Conwy (2.7 %)

Electorate:
Current
43976
2005
43230

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
8853
7926
5583
3335
Other
1209

 


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10 05 04 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
I agree with the last predictor. This is going to be one of the seats that will add to the Tories victory on election night.
09 05 12 Harry Hayfield
86.162.248.51
Aberconwy is the 37th Conservative target according to the calculations created by Thrasher and Rallings for the Press Association, BBC News, ITN and Sky News and would be a Con GAIN on a swing of 1.96%. The local elections in 2008 were confused slightly due to the large number of Independent who stand in elections, but despite that the Conservatives polled the most votes in the wards that make up Aberconwy



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