Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Inverclyde


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 22:03:02
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Labour Party
David Cairns
Conservative Party
David Wilson
Scottish National Party
Innes Nelson
UK Independence Party
Peter Patrick Glancy Campbell
Liberal Democrats
Simon Hutton

Incumbent:
David Cairns
Inverclyde (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
65485
2005
59291

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18318
3692
6123
7059
Other
906

 


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10 04 30 Laird of Camster
94.197.104.219
LibDems used to run the Inverclyde council - one of a very few in Scotland. LibDems are strong in the area and this is a possible gain for them given the Nick Clegg surge.
10 04 11 Rhyddfrydol
92.41.135.249
Despite the LibDems being the largest party of the former Inverclyde council, the Labour party should hold onto this seat.
10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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