Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Glasgow South


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Solidarity - Scotland's Socialist Movement
Brian Smith
Conservative Party
Davena Rankin
Scottish National Party
Malcolm Fleming
Scottish Green Party
Marie Campbell
British National Party
Michael Andrew COYLE
Liberal Democrats
Shabnum Mustapha
Labour Party
Tom Harris

Incumbent:
Mr Tom Harris
Glasgow South (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
74482
2005
68837

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18153
4836
7321
4860
Other
3261

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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