Election Prediction Project

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 22:41:57

Constituency Profile

Scottish National Party
Angus Robertson
UK Independence Party
Donald Gatt
Conservative Party
Douglas Ross
Liberal Democrats
James Paterson
Labour Party
Kieron Green

Angus Robertson
Moray (100 %)


Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus


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10 04 09 BBC NEWS
Twitter abuse candidate removed
Story from BBC NEWS:
Published: 2010/04/09 12:19:50 GMT
A Labour election candidate who cursed leading politicians, including David Cameron and Nick Clegg, on his Twitter page has been removed from standing.
Stuart MacLennan will no longer be the party's Moray candidate and has been suspended as a Labour member after admitting tweeting offensive comments.
Labour initially backed him to remain as a candidate, but later dropped him after opposition calls for him to go.
Mr MacLennan said he was sorry and admitted he had been ‘very stupid’.
He had reportedly described the elderly as ‘coffin dodgers’ on his Twitter page and posted a series of foul-mouthed rants about politicians.
Labour had said Mr MacLennan's comments were made a year ago when he was a student, although the BBC understands he posted offensive remarks as late as 31 March, this year.
Labour dropped Mr MacLennan in light of the ‘totally unacceptable’ language - a move which was ‘strongly supported’ by Prime Minister Gordon Brown.
A Scottish Labour Party spokesman, said: ‘On reading the comments in full, the Scottish Labour Party was outraged by their content, and Scottish Labour's general secretary took the decision to suspend his membership of the Labour Party.
‘Stuart MacLennan is no longer a Labour Party candidate nor eligible to hold office as a Labour Party representative.’
In a statement, Mr MacLennan said: ‘I am very sorry. I have been very stupid and rightly paid a high price.’
Even shortly before news of his removal was announced, Scottish Secretary Jim Murphy had said Mr MacLennan would continue to be the candidate.
Mr Murphy later said the party was left with no option, after it became aware of all the Twitter comments.
Mr MacLennan has been suspended from his non-salaried intern post with the Labour group at Holyrood pending ‘further inquiries’.
Reacting to the decision, Scottish Conservative leader Annabel Goldie said of the incident: ‘It was repugnant, insulting and totally in character with Labour's desperate and dirty campaign.’
SNP Westminster leader Angus Robertson, the party's candidate in Moray, added: ‘This incident has completely devastated Labour's campaign launch today - but questions must be asked as many of these comments have been online for months, and presumably Labour colleagues have been well aware of them.’
Alistair Carmichael, the Liberal Democrats' Scottish affairs spokesman, said: ‘The Labour Party has been forced to sack a candidate who was clearly young and inexperienced.
‘This whole debacle only demonstrates the weakness of Labour in Scotland.’
09 03 09 Predictor
With SNP eating heavily into Labour's numbers, and highly visible first minister being right next door, this seat should stay comfortably in SNP's column.

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