Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Birkenhead


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:22:24
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Andrew Gilbert
Labour Party
Frank Field
Liberal Democrats
Stuart Kelly

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Frank Field
Birkenhead (99.8 %)
Stephen Hesford
Wirral West (9.8 %)

Electorate:
Current
66452
2005
63416

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
20498
5364
6075
Other
138

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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