Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Ashton-under-Lyne


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:22:24
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Angela McManus
British National Party
David George Lomas
Labour Party
David Heyes
Liberal Democrats
Paul Larkin
Conservative Party
Seema Kennedy

Incumbent:
David Heyes
Ashton-under-Lyne (91.7 %)
Andrew Gwynne
Denton & Reddish (1.6 %)

Electorate:
Current
67334
2005
67113

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
20380
6984
3811
Other
3289

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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