Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Warrington South


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
David Mowat
UK Independence Party
James Ashington
Liberal Democrats
Jo Crotty
Labour Party
Nick Bent
Green Party
Stephanie Davies

Incumbent:
Helen Southworth
Warrington South (95.4 %)
Helen Jones
Warrington North (6.4 %)

Electorate:
Current
75114
2005
76914

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19369
15694
11269
Other
889

 


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10 04 22 Predictor
99.211.152.63
A very tight race. It's traditionally been a Lab-Con marginal, but the LD's, who now run Warrington Council, have been creeping up from behind. The gap is far too large for them to catch up, but their surge would certainly make this seat difficult to predict.



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