Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Gateshead


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:22:24
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green Party
Andy Redfern
Christian Party
David Walton
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
Elaine Brunskill
Liberal Democrats
Frank Hindle
Conservative Party
Hazel Anderson
Labour Party
Ian Mearns
UK Independence Party
John Tennant
British National Party
Kevin Scott

Incumbent:
Mr David Clelland
Tyne Bridge (58.7 %)
Mrs Sharon Hodgson
Gateshead East & Washington West (51.5 %)
Mr Stephen Hepburn
Jarrow (2.2 %)

Electorate:
Current
69403
2005
64488

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
21563
3789
7309
Other
1461

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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