Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

City of Durham


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 08:52:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Carol Woods
Independent
Jon Collings
Conservative Party
Nick Varley
UK Independence Party
Nigel Coghill-Marshall
British National Party
Ralph Musgrove
Labour Party
Roberta Blackman-Woods

Incumbent:
Dr Roberta Blackman-Woods
Durham, City of (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
69926
2005
71442

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
20928
4179
17655
Other
1603

 


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10 04 26 JFBreton
207.134.225.57
Solid race between Labour and LibDems here. A little switch vote between Conservatives and Labour. Result: LibDems short victory.
10 04 24 Former resident
64.231.161.131
The Lib Dems are polling up 12% on 2005, and Labour are down 14%.
This seat is in the top 25 Lib Dem targets, and needs a swing that is much less than half the current swing estimated by the polls. This is going LD.
10 04 12 Rhyddfrydol
92.41.72.72
LibDems have made great increases in Durham over the years, reducing the once strong Labour majority to a whisker. Ladbrokes are predicting a close fight with Labour but one that the LibDems should win.



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