Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Harrogate and Knaresborough


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:07:29
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Andrew Jones
Liberal Democrats
Claire Kelley
UK Independence Party
John Upex
Labour Party
Kevin McNerney
British National Party
Steven Gill

Incumbent:
Mr Phil Willis
Harrogate & Knaresborough (100 %)
Miss Anne McIntosh
Vale of York (6.3 %)
Rt Hon David Curry
Skipton & Ripon (5 %)

Electorate:
Current
73962
2005
74274

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
4100
16899
26153
Other
1433

 


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10 04 25 Former Resident
64.231.163.113
Bookies seem fairly convinced of this one. LD Hold.
Ladbrokes: LD 1/6 Con 3/1 Others 100/1
09 10 01 HER MAJESTY'S LOYAL TENN CAN
24.158.169.165
I am not honestly sure - there would have to be a fairly sizeable swing from LD to C to overcome the large LD margin in this riding. On the otherhand, when you look at the riding's history, it has a fairly solid Conservative history prior to 1997. I'll hold off from predicting this one for now.



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