Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Birmingham, Selly Oak


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:22:24
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Dave Radcliffe
Green Party
James Burn
UK Independence Party
Jeffrey Burgess
British National Party
Lynette Orton
Conservative Party
Nigel Dawkins
Christian Party
Samuel Leeds
Labour Party
Steve McCabe

Incumbent:
Stephen McCabe
Birmingham, Hall Green (62.2 %)
Lynne Jones
Birmingham, Selly Oak (5.8 %)
Ms Gisela Stuart
Birmingham, Edgbaston (1.2 %)

Electorate:
Current
74283
2005
72511

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
20925
12937
7835
Other
1725

 


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10 04 20 EP
99.162.224.34
Steve McCabe probably has a large enough margin to work with, but given the regional/national trend, he would have to work the numbers hard. Right now, I'd say he still has the upper hand.



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