Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Nottingham North


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 22:03:02
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Labour Party
Graham Allen
UK Independence Party
Irenea Marriott
Conservative Party
Martin Curtis
British National Party
Simon Brindley
Liberal Democrats
Tim Ball

Incumbent:
Mr Graham Allen
Nottingham North (95.5 %)
Mr John Heppell
Nottingham East (5.6 %)
Alan Simpson
Nottingham South (2.8 %)

Electorate:
Current
68139
2005
64415

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18684
5807
5465
Other
1712

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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