Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

North Dorset


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:34:48
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green Party
Anna Hayball
Liberal Democrats
Emily Gasson
UK Independence Party
Jeremy Nieboer
Labour Party
Mike Bunney
Conservative Party
Robert Walter
Official Monster Raving Loony Party
Roger Monksummers

Incumbent:
Mr Robert Walter
North Dorset (80.1 %)
Mr Christopher Chope
Christchurch (15.1 %)

Electorate:
Current
66608
2005
70654

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
5208
22610
18661
Other
3591

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
LD gain. This is in the LD's top 30 targets.
With Clegg's game-changing performance in the TV debate, the Lib Dems are up 12% nationally on their 2005 showing, and the Tories are barely improving (2005: Lab 41, Con 32, LD 18; 2010: Con 33, LD 30, Lab 27).
There has been no sign of an LD slide.
10 04 14 EP
204.9.162.70
The Tory MP is a relatively low-profile/obscure one, and the LDs are putting in a lot of resource here. A tight fight for sure.



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