Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Central Devon


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:34:48
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Bob Edwards
Green Party
Colin Matthews
Conservative Party
Mel Stride
Labour Party
Moira Macdonald
Liberal Democrats
Phi Hutty

Incumbent:
Richard Younger-Ross
Teignbridge (27.3 %)
Angela Browning
Tiverton & Honiton (22.2 %)
Mr Geoffrey Cox
Torridge & West Devon (17.1 %)
Mr Anthony Steen
Totnes (8.1 %)
Nick Harvey
North Devon (5.3 %)

Electorate:
Current
63563
2005
66993

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
4760
21809
15354
Other
4419

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
This one has been called way too early.
With Clegg's game-changing performance in the TV debate, the Lib Dems are up 12% nationally on their 2005 showing, and the Tories are barely improving (2005: Lab 41, Con 31, LD 20; 2010: Con 33, LD 30, Lab 27).
If these numbers hold, it is difficult to see the Tories taking this one, or any LD seats in the South West.
09 09 25 EP
204.9.162.70
Given the massive swing from LD to Con in the recent Devon local election, this seat can be safely placed in the Conservative column.



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