Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Truro and Falmouth


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Labour Party
Charlotte MacKenzie
UK Independence Party
Harry Blakeley
Green Party
Ian Wright
Mebyon Kernow
Loic Rich
Conservative Party
Sarah Newton
Liberal Democrats
Terrye Teverson

Incumbent:
Matthew Taylor
Truro & St Austell (50.4 %)
Julia Goldsworthy
Falmouth & Camborne (33.8 %)

Electorate:
Current
64587
2005
64651

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
6564
14399
18694
Other
2586

 


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10 04 24 former resident
70.29.18.217
Very easy LD hold.
With Clegg's game-changing performance in the TV debate, the Lib Dems are up 12% nationally on their 2005 showing, and the Tories are barely improving (2005: Lab 41, Con 32, LD 18; 2010: Con 33, LD 30, Lab 27).
10 04 14 EP
204.9.162.70
If Mattew Taylor is still running I'd say he'll win easily. With him standing down the Tories would have a chance. LD is running the new wife of now Lord Robin Teverson, Terrye Jones, who ran but lost to the Tories in 2005 County election.



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