Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Bristol West


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:23:10
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Chris Lees
Independent
Danny Kushlick
English Democrats Party
John Baker
Conservative Party
Nick Yarker
Labour Party
Paul Smith
Green Party
Ricky Knight
Liberal Democrats
Stephen Williams

Incumbent:
Stephen Williams
Bristol West (66.1 %)
Kerry McCarthy
Bristol East (23.5 %)

Electorate:
Current
74262
2005
69860

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
17709
8380
18157
Other
3539

 


Put your political/campaign ad here! Replace it with your campaign ad! See sponsorship details.

10 04 10 Cade Suffolk
67.71.11.221
The sitting LDP member is running again here in this heavily redistributed seat, while the sitting Labour MP has chosen redder pastures of Bristol East. Looks like a strong LDP hold.
10 03 15 Mike Taylor
87.194.244.102
They won last time and should keep it by gaining the majority of disaffected Labour votes
09 06 09 Keith
77.101.221.202
Though Labour came a close second in 2005, under the current circumstances it's unlikely that they'll come that close next time. The Conservatives could make a comeback here, but the Lib Dems have polled well in the relevant wards in the recent local council elections so it doesn't seem likely at the moment. As things stand, I'd call this one for the Lib Dems.



Navigate to UK 2009/10 Home | South West Index | Submission Index

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.com
© Milton Chan, 1999-2009 - Email Webmaster