Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Oxford East


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Labour Party
Andrew Smith
Socialist Equality Party
David O’Sullivan
Conservative Party
Edward Argar
UK Independence Party
Julia Gasper
Equal Parenting Alliance
Roger Crawford
Liberal Democrats
Steve Goddard
Green Party
Sushila Dhall

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Andrew Smith
Oxford East (100 %)
Dr Evan Harris
Oxford West & Abingdon (8.9 %)

Electorate:
Current
78769
2005
79351

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
16755
7988
16069
Other
5645

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
easy LD gain.
The LD's will benefit hugely from Clegg's game-changing performance in the TV debate. This is one of many seats where they will see that benefit.
10 04 19 EP
99.162.224.34
The Lib Dems are going all out in both Oxford seats. Given the debate bounce I think they can worry less about defending Oxford West now and focus their resources on Oxford East. Barring some major change of fortune, the current trend suggest this is going to the LibDems.



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