Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Gravesham


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:07:29
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Adam Holloway
Independent
Alice Sakura Dartnell
Liberal Democrats
Anna Arrowsmith
UK Independence Party
Geoffrey Clark
Labour Party
Kathryn Smith
Green Party
Richard Crawford
English Democrats Party
Steven Uncles

Incumbent:
Mr Adam Holloway
Gravesham (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
70098
2005
68704

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19087
19739
4851
Other
1505

 


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10 04 29 Predictor
204.9.162.70
Being arrested in a traffic accident can't possibly help Smith's chance. She is understood to have been breathalysed at the scene. Her agent said she had asked to provide a blood sample. All a little too messy this close to election day.
10 04 19 EP
99.162.224.34
The Tories gained control of the local council from Labours in 2007, which bode well for Holloway’s chance. Labour probably have too many other seats to defend to be able to focus on this otherwise very marginal seat. Too Close to call still. Interesting tidbit, the LD is running a pron movie director...



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