Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Aldershot


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:34:48
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Adrian Collett
English Independence Party
Gary Cowd
Conservative Party
Gerald Howarth
Labour Party
Jonathan Slater
Christian Party
Juliana Brimicombe
UK Independence Party
Robert Snare

Incumbent:
Mr Gerald Howarth
Aldershot (84.2 %)

Electorate:
Current
66499
2005
66122

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
8813
17818
11572
Other
2319

 


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09 02 21 Ben
130.64.137.90
Howarth is very far on the right of the Conservative Party, too far right to win the really enormous victories which should otherwise be possible for the Conservatives in Aldershot. But he's definitely safe, too, and would be even if the Conservatives weren't likely to win a landslide. Solidly for Howarth with the Lib Dems pretty much holding on to their vote while Labour collapses.



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