Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Harrow East


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:25:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Abhijit Pandya
Conservative Party
Bob Blackman
Green Party
Madeleine Atkins
Liberal Democrats
Nahid Boethe
Labour Party
Tony McNulty

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Tony McNulty
Harrow East (82.7 %)

Electorate:
Current
67365
2005
69502

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19244
16320
5863
Other
608

 


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10 04 25 Adrian Bailey
82.36.129.101
Tony McNulty was branded a ‘benefit cheat’ during the expenses scandal and there's little hope of him holding on to this marginal seat.
10 04 25 Former resident
64.231.163.113
The #47 Tory target. Labour have fallen dramatically since 2005, the Tories up slightly. The LibDems not a factor here.
Lab incumbent caught in the expenses scandal, but standing again. Tory gain.
Ladbrokes Con 4/9 Lab 13/8 LD 100/1
Note: Not sure that the bookies are pricing in the local impacts of the expenses scandal, where specific candidates are particularly vulnerable.



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