Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Beckenham


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:25:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green Party
Ann Garrett
Conservative Party
Bob Stewart
Labour Party
Damien Egan
English Democrats Party
Dan Eastgate
UK Independence Party
Owen Brolly
British National Party
Roger Tonks
Liberal Democrats
Stephen Jenkins

Incumbent:
Mrs Jacqui Lait
Beckenham (59.2 %)
Bob Neill
Bromley & Chislehurst (27.2 %)

Electorate:
Current
63405
2005
63738

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
9040
24596
6287
Other
1705

 


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10 04 05 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Even when they were losing badly overall, the Tories managed to rack up healthy margin in the area. With their numbers ticking up, this would be one of the earliest seats to be declared blue.
09 03 17 Predictor
204.9.162.70
Labour missed it best pickup opportunity when Tory MP Piers Merchant resigned after revelations about his private life in October 1997. Labour were at the height of their post-election honeymoon and the Tories had imported Jacqui Lait, who had been turfed out by the voters in Hastings just months before. Lait held on by about 1200, and have increase her margin since. Conservative Hold.



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