Election Prediction Project
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Canada Federal Election - 2009/10

Wascana


Prediction Changed
2009-08-22 17:22:53
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Incumbent:
Hon. Ralph Goodale

Previous Prediction/result

  • 2008 Prediction
  • 2006 Prediction
  • 2004 Prediction
  • 2000 Prediction
  • wascana (162/162 Polls)
  • Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide


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    09 09 07 Scott D
    204.83.49.29
    Last election some were speculating that Goodale would be defeated in a close race but on election night Goodale was re-elected with a safe margin. The Conservative party were able to increase their support but not enough to come close to defeating Goodale. Goodale will be re-elected in the next election. Goodale seems to be the only Liberal in Saskatchewan who knows how to win and is popular both in his riding and across Canada. Goodale wins on his own popularity.
    09 09 05 MF
    70.48.67.120
    Obviously Wascana is Ralph Goodale's personal seat, not a Liberal seat, in a province where the federal Liberals are practically nonexistent. It's his as long as he wants it.
    09 09 05 MF
    70.48.67.120
    Obviously Wascana is Ralph Goodale's personal seat, not a Liberal seat, in a province where the federal Liberals are practically nonexistent. It's his as long as he wants it.
    09 09 03 Stevo
    99.251.76.167
    Only this and Anita Neville's Winnipeg North-Centre stand between a full eviction of Liberal MPs from the three Prairie provinces, and Wascana is the more secure of the two. Goodale's margin might dip once more as the trends suggest (even with a new Liberal leader) but he will almost certainly be re-elected.
    09 08 27 wyatt
    24.235.142.160
    I wouldn't be sure that this is safe for Goodale. He had his lowest percentage since the election in 2000 last year, dropping 5.7% to a less than 4,500 vote lead. This could be a real battle this time. Although, the Tories may be content to let him have it, as they're likely to retain the rest of the province.
    09 08 20 SaskPhoenix
    68.146.124.87
    As long as Ralph Goodale is still the MP for Wascana, this riding will stay Liberal red matching the colour of a Coca Cola pop can in a sea of Pepsi blue Conservative-held province. Prediction: Ralph Goodale cruises to another easy win and return to Ottawa as MP and likely cabinet minister if Ignatieff wins the election.



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