Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2011

Cypress Hills-Grasslands

Prediction Changed
2009-08-24 10:18:00

Constituency Profile


Anderson, David

Filson, Duane

Peterson, Trevor

Scott, Helmi

David Anderson

Previous Prediction/result

  • 2008 Prediction
  • 2006 Prediction
  • 2004 Prediction
  • 2000 Prediction
  • cypress-hills-grasslands (154/154 Polls)
  • saskatoon-rosetown-biggar (5/146 Polls)
  • Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide


    Put your political/campaign ad here! Replace it with your campaign ad! See sponsorship details.

    11 04 09 C.A.B.
    Reform won here even in 1993, and this is also the home of Premier Brad Wall, which might have hurt Anderson if the government had allowed the Potash buyout to go through, but of course they didn't, and Anderson will probably win here with about two-thirds of the vote, and a 50-point margin over his nearest opponent, once again.
    11 03 29 M. Lunn
    Even back in the days when the NDP dominated Saskatchewan, this still went solidly Tory. In many ways, it is more like Montana and North Dakota in its politics. But with rural Saskatchewan being solidly Conservative and the neighbouring states (if it matters being solidly Republican), I expect the Tories to get at least 60%, maybe as high as 70%.
    09 09 07 Scott D
    David Anderson has received over 60% of the vote since the 2000 federal election and likely will continue that tradition next election.
    09 09 06 A.S.
    Rob Clarke won with 8,964 votes; so, 10,000 *votes* is within sight, but given the seat demographics, a 10,000 vote *margin* is impossible unless you bar everyone with First Nation status from voting, divide the opposition share neatly between Liberal and NDP, and toss in the northern reaches of Battlefords-Lloydminster and Prince Albert to boot. He does appear to be safe-ish enough regardless, but I still can't help thinking of the ghost of Gary Merasty. (And when it comes to David Orchard: remember that for all of his populist bluster, he's an awkward sell to the reserve vote, which is critical here.)
    09 08 24 EP
    With the NDP becoming more and more of an urban party, it cedes its traditional territory in rural Saskatchewan ridings like this one. This leaves the Conservative Party with no competition. Unless a regional dissent party appears and starts to field federal candidates, this rural Saskatchewan riding wills stay in the “solidly Conservative column for the foreseeable future.

    Navigate to Canada 2011 Home | Provincial Index | Submission

    Canada Federal Election - 2011
    Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.com
    © Milton Chan, 1999-2011 - Email Webmaster