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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
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Incumbent: |
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Hon. Jack Layton |
Previous Prediction/result
2008 Prediction
2006 Prediction
2004 Prediction
2000 Prediction
Reference:
Pundits' Guide
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 | 09 09 29 |
Gone Fishing 64.231.145.16 |
Jack Layton will step aside to run for Mayor of Toronto. Not IF, I am predicting He WILL step aside thus avoiding for a long while an election by giving his party a chance to find another leader or play footsies with a unite the progressive movement whatever that is. Who knows what happens here. There is a lot of rumble that even Toronto is turning blue in the polling but it's inconclusive and only an idiot would call it blue. As partisan as I am - I am no idiot. If Jack walks the plank look for a real star candidate from the Liberals. It could be the most hotly contested seat in Toronto. |
 | 09 09 02 |
MF 70.52.182.217 |
| Jack Layton will have no trouble getting re-elected in the NDP stronghold of Danforth. The Liberals don't pose a serious challenge here - all they offer are very weak candidates and silly publicity stunts. |
 | 09 08 31 |
A.S. 99.232.162.133 |
| Layton's predecessor Dennis Mills was a phenomenon unto himself; he skewed the ‘heavily Liberal’ picture as much as Layton skews the ‘heavily NDP’ picture. And re NDP ‘strongest in the city’, remember that through the AudreyAlexa years it was Trinity-Spadina wearing that mantle (though the picture may now be skewed away by heavy condo development). Either way, Layton looks to be safe; but at a titch below 45% (his lowest yet as leader), nothing should be taken for granted. And interestingly, that Toronto pattern: what green-shifted most noticeably away from Layton was the urban-yuppie hard-Riverdalean Carrot-Common-zone vote... |
 | 09 08 27 |
Observer 89.180.129.136 |
| Toronto Danforth is heavily Liberal. If Jack Layton wasn't the party leader, it would stay Liberal. |
 | 09 08 18 |
Nick J Boragina 198.96.35.219 |
| Despite attempts last election by the owners of a blog called ‘where is Jack Layton’ to defeat the NDP leader, Layton was able to walk to another victory in this riding. This riding is, in fact, the strongest NDP riding in the city, with or without Layton, and with him will be another easy victory weather or not the NDP even breaks 10% in the province. The only way this will change is if both the Liberals and NDP start polling as they did in teh 1990s in the province. |
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