10 01 05	R.O. 24.146.23.226
This was one of the few GTA/905 ridings to actually go conservative in 2004 and it has stayed that way since then. and i honestly think it would take something pretty significant for it to go anywhere else. The economy could of been that something except for the fact the opposition parties became fixated on an election that no one wanted last year and the conservatives economic action plan has proved to be rather successful. one thing that has changed here since 2004 is the lack of a 3 way race as its largely became a conservative / ndp race which is rather shocking when considering the ridings less than a half hour from the liberal fortress of Toronto and many residents of the riding commute to work in Toronto. but i honestly don't see the liberals making much improvements here and they don't even have any potential candidates at the moment so the ndp with the support of the local CAW and candidate Chris Buckley will continue to be Colin Carrie's main opponents in the riding for now.
	09 09 11	Marco Ricci 72.138.2.68
I don't think this riding is in play for the NDP. The NDP numbers would have to go up in Ontario more for that to happen and they are on a bit of a decline in the latest federal polls. The NDP has missed out on winning this riding both federally AND provincially for several elections now. It isn't just a federal problem, but a provincial problem as well. The NDP has a core base of support here, but it isn't enough to put them over the top without there being a game changer in the riding or without Conservative support dropping in the area.
	09 09 11	A.S. 99.232.162.133
Keep in mind that relative to previous years, there *wasn't* the ?chorus of NDP predictions? for Oshawa in '08; in fact, it took something like 35 posts for the first NDP prediction to be posted. And there was a good reason: after repeated Sid Ryan losses federally and provincially, even the so-called NDP chorus seemed borderline prepared to give up, especially without a candidate of Ryan's profile. That's what ought to be factored in re Colin Carrie's increased margin: the consensus that Mike Shields was no Syd Ryan, together with things going up for the Tories across the board in Ontario anyway--yet keep in mind that even the NDP share went up 1 1/4 points! That's right, Mike Shields did better, sharewise, than Sid Ryan *ever* did. And that's with growth patterns not favouring the NDP; and it isn't like things are getting any better for GM. Still in play, folks; it'd only be if Carrie topped 45% and Shields went beneath 30% (i.e. double the margin) that I'd consider otherwise...
	09 09 10	MF 74.15.66.240
If the NDP is likely to pick up any seat in Ontario, this is it. However Oshawa seems to be a continual disappointment for them, and even with the Tories likely to lose ground, I will still give them the edge in Oshawa. Perhaps the NDP needs someone like Peter Kormos to win in Oshawa?
	09 08 30	Stevo 99.251.76.167
I think perhaps the usual chorus of NDP predictions for Oshawa will be tempered this time around now that the Conservatives have beaten them three times (count em: 3) in a row with increasing margins of victory. Until the NDP gets an Ed Broadbent or Bill Blaikie-type leader, the NDP will continue to fall short here.
	09 08 23	Observer 89.180.69.237
This riding is getting more and more Conservative. It can switch to the NDP which has still good numbers but I can see it happening in the near future. Remember that although Oshawa was one of the most hit ridings by unemployment and losses of manufacturing jobs, it reelected the Conservative incumbent MP with an increased margin and even Ed Broadbent heavily campaign here didn't helped the NDP.