Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2011

Don Valley East

Prediction Changed
2009-08-30 14:08:00

Constituency Profile


Daniel, Joe

Hynes, Mary Trapani

Kidd, Ryan

Ratansi, Yasmin

Sadikali, Akil

Yasmin Ratansi

Previous Prediction/result

  • 2008 Prediction
  • 2006 Prediction
  • 2004 Prediction
  • 2000 Prediction
  • don-valley-east (181/194 Polls)
  • Reference:

  • Pundits' Guide


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    11 03 28 M. Lunn
    The Tories may be hoping to win some ridings in the 416, but this is not one of them. Anything from a 10 point Liberal win to 30 a point Liberal win is possible. Either way the Liberals will win this.
    11 03 28 MH
    Yasmin Ratansi has held this easily through three elections, and she is personally popular in the riding. Unless there is a collapse of the Liberal vote in Toronto, she's going back to Ottawa. The Conservatives should write this one off and concentrate their efforts next door in Don Valley West, where the Liberals are vulnerable.
    11 03 27 DVPro-lifer
    Although I would love to see some Conservatives in the Toronto city limits, ratansi will have no problem. This is one of the (if not THE) must Muslim ridings in the country. she's Liberal and Muslim. Also, her constituency office does good work for her constituents.
    Cakewalk for ratansi.
    09 09 03 A.S.
    All the 2008 Dion disaster did was shave Ratansi's margin from 25 points to 17 points. Maybe if Harper actually managed to score some 416 seats in '08 (including, most of all, DVW next door), this'd be in ‘next tier Tory gain’ play now. *Maybe*. Though you'd have to wish back the Dion leadership and recruit Denzil Minnan-Wong as candidate to have a chance at sealing the case...
    09 08 28 JJ
    This is Toronto, the Liberal base. Ratansi has managed to hold on with healthy margins in each election even through the Liberal meltdown in 2008. LPC hold.

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