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élection générale (Canada) - 2011

Mégantic-L'Érable


La prévision a changé
2009-08-31 15:45:00
 


 
Profil de circonscription

candidats:

Bergeron, Alain

Paradis, Christian

Roy, René

Tessari, Wyatt

Turcotte, Pierre

Voisine, Cheryl

Député:
L'hon. Christian Paradis

prévision historiques

  • 2008 prévision
  • 2006 prévision
  • 2004 prévision
  • 2000 prévision
  • frontenac-megantic (157/174 Polls)
  • lotbiniere-lerable (55/155 Polls)
  • Référence:

  • Pundits’ Guide


  •  


    Nous n'aimons pas des films publicitaires non plus, mais quelqu'un doivent payer le loyer. Remplacez-l'avec votre annonce de campagne ! Voir les détails de patronage.

    11 04 29 Stéphane Gaudet
    66.130.172.171
    En tout cas, si le lieutenant québécois de Stephen Harper perd son siège, ce ne sera pas aux mains de la candidate néo-démocrate, qui est une Ontarienne unilingue anglophone et introuvable dans le comté selon le journal La Tribune. Je crois plutôt que Paradis sera réélu; un siège que le PCC ne perdra pas au Québec.
    11 04 26 Dr Bear & Prof Ape
    65.92.25.58
    We know that logic would dictate a CPC win but they're down to 14% in Quebec polls. What were the CPC polling in '04? Quebecers have no trouble tossing out incumbents when the winds of change start to blow. Don't believe us? Look at how the CPC won this in '06 compared to how they lost it in '04.
    11 04 16 M. Lunn
    174.116.190.108
    This is by nature one of the more Tory friendly ridings in Quebec, while Christian Paradis is one of their top cabinet ministers thus if you would see both the Bloc and Tories putting a lot of resources in this riding if they thought it was in danger. Since that hasn't happened, I expect Paradis to hold this.
    11 04 07 FP
    12.43.88.120
    A sure riding (can we say stronghold ?) for conservatives. Especially with their stance on Asbestos.
    11 04 02 M.Lunn
    174.116.190.108
    Christian Paradis is a fairly high profile MP as well as this is one of the more Conservative ridings in Quebec thus I would still give the Tories the edge. However, if they falter in Quebec, this could definitely become vulnerable.
    11 03 31 Tony Ducey
    76.11.85.66
    Paradis has become quite strong as one of Harper's top Quebec ministers. He holds onto this seat.
    09 09 10 JFBreton
    207.134.225.57
    Les conservateurs ont utilis? cet ?t? les ressources d'une firme priv?e de Toronto, Responsive Marketing Group. Selon leur analyse, seuls Maxime Bernier (Beauce), Jos?e Verner (Louis-Saint-Laurent), Christian Paradis (M?gantic-l'?rable) et Jean-Pierre Blackburn (Jonqui?re-Alma) pourraient dormir tranquilles. Le si?ge des six autres ?lus est en danger s'il y a des ?lections cet automne (Lawrence Cannon, Sylvie Boucher, Denis Lebel, Steven Blaney et Daniel Petit). L'analyse conclut ?galement que si les intentions de vote remontent l?g?rement, le si?ge de Jacque Gourde (Lotbini?re-Chute-de-la-Chaudi?re) serait sauv?.[source: Le Devoir, 10 septembre 2009]
    09 08 30 wyatt
    24.235.142.160
    While his total was not as strong in '08 as it was in '06, Paradis retained an 8,400 vote lead. That alone is very comfortable, but with his additional cabinet exposure, he'll hold here.



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