Projet D'Élection Prévision
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élection générale (Canada) - 2011

Bourassa


La prévision a changé
2009-08-27 11:19:00
 


 
Profil de circonscription

candidats:

Azoulay, David

Centazzo, Tiziana

Coderre, Denis

Demers, Julie

Mailhot, Daniel

Royer, Geneviève

Député:
L'hon. Denis Coderre

prévision historiques

  • 2008 prévision
  • 2006 prévision
  • 2004 prévision
  • 2000 prévision
  • ahuntsic (16/226 Polls)
  • anjou-riviere-des-prairies (3/177 Polls)
  • bourassa (184/188 Polls)
  • Référence:

  • Pundits’ Guide


  •  


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    11 03 29 Marco Ricci
    72.138.2.247
    Coderre won comfortably here in 2008 and is probably secure in this election. He was Quebec Lieutenant for a while until he quit in a huge protest. Based on the challenges the Liberals are currently facing in the polls, it turns out that Coderre may have been the one they needed in charge of the Quebec team afterall.
    11 03 28 M.Lunn
    174.116.190.108
    This area did go Bloc in 1993, but with its large Allophone population as well as the fact Coderre won by double digits even during the height of adscam, the Liberals should hold this, just maybe not by the obscene margins they get in some of the other West Island ridings.
    11 03 28 Daniel
    99.241.199.161
    Coderre is a bully-boy and although the thought of him leading the liberal party, or any party for that matter, is terrifying, he will win here.
    11 03 28 Tony Ducey
    76.11.85.66
    Coderre holds onto this seat. Really think Coderre could be a strong candidate for Liberal leader after the next election.
    09 11 18 binriso
    156.34.213.226
    Coderre won huge last time, by more than any other election that he contested except 2000 (well he lost in 1993). So a similar result is likely to occur this time, probably a bit closer.
    09 10 21 JEB
    70.82.30.39
    Coderre's image will not be the same anymore for the Bourassa voters... He went from the influencial, well spoken, opiniated, savior MP to the black sheep, isolated MP. People don't like that. They also don't like Iggy... That's bad news for Denis. Watch the Bloc in this riding as sometimes big majority melt like snow in the sun. A long delay before the next general election will not play in Coderre's favor unless he finds a way to come back in good terms with the party. Good luck on this one Denis!
    09 09 05 Marco Ricci
    72.138.2.68
    Denis Coderre's vote went up in 2008, and the BQ vote went down. Looks like the riding will stay in the Liberal column for the foreseeable future. Coderre is also now the Quebec Lieutenant for Ignatieff and has an even higher-profile than he did before.
    09 08 27 JF Breton
    207.134.225.57
    Lors des dernières élections, plusieurs prédisaient une lutte serrée entre les Libéraux et le Bloc. Finalement, Coderre a terminé avec une bonne majorité, malgré Dion comme chef. Alors ce sera d'autant plus facile cette fois-ci, Coderre étant devenu organisateur pour le Québec.
    09 08 26 Sean P.F.
    198.103.172.9
    Every election Bourassa is predicted to be a close LIB-BQ race, and every time Denis Coderre wins by a comfortable margin. Regardless of liberal numbers in Quebec, he will win re-election by a good 5000 vote margin at the very least.



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