Projet D'Élection Prévision
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élection générale (Canada) - 2011

Argenteuil-Papineau-Mirabel


La prévision a changé
2009-08-30 14:07:00
 


 
Profil de circonscription

candidats:

Ferlatte, Christian-Simon

Fox, Daniel

Freeman, Mylène

Guibord, Michel Daniel

Laframboise, Mario

Matthews, Stephen

Patry, Yvan

Député:
Mario Laframboise

prévision historiques

  • 2008 prévision
  • 2006 prévision
  • 2004 prévision
  • 2000 prévision
  • argenteuil-papineau-mirabel (198/218 Polls)
  • Référence:

  • Pundits’ Guide


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    Nous n'aimons pas des films publicitaires non plus, mais quelqu'un doivent payer le loyer. Remplacez-l'avec votre annonce de campagne ! Voir les détails de patronage.

    11 05 01 Stéphane Gaudet
    66.130.172.171
    Ce comté devrait demeurer bloquiste par une mince majorité, mais uniquement parce que c'est Mario Laframboise. Autrement, avec Mirabel en ses limites, il voterait NPD comme le reste de la Rive-Nord.
    11 04 26 myNDP2senseworth
    99.231.199.196
    So If 40% of Bloc supporters are indeed going to the NDP then this and many many many other ridings might switch to the NDP. But I'm choosing this one and all ridings in the Outaouais region. Most of us can concur on Gatineau and maybe that is bleeding over into Hull-Aylmer and Pontiac as well.
    That is my NDP 2 sense worth.
    11 04 25 WAC
    99.230.244.3
    The last batch of Quebec polls have the NDP in the lead in Quebec over the BQ by a 13 point margin - even the more modest Nanos polls have them in the lead... if that's the case then this riding is too close to call. These are crazy times. You've got to think someone like Laframboise will hang on... right?
    11 04 26 binriso
    142.167.166.13
    Maybe this is a bit off the wall, but an NDP sweep of the Ouataouis is not out of the question if they lead the Bloc in the province. In fact theyve been as high as 39% now in some polls, if that were true they may win 50 seats in the province with the Liberals, Conservatives and Bloc down 7-12 points each.
    11 03 28 M.Lunn
    174.116.190.108
    The Tories may be competitive on the other side of the river, but their support largely ends there and the Bloc Quebecois begins on the Quebec side.
    09 08 29 JF Breton
    24.203.249.32
    Mario Laframboise est sans doute plus populaire que son option. Avec 16000 voix de majorité aux dernières élections et un secteur très nationaliste comme Mirabel, victoire bloquiste sans trop de problèmes.



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