10 04 24	ridingbyriding 198.96.35.219
(I am Nick J Boragina from below) As I said a year ago, time heals all wounds. Now that we are looking at a likely fall 2010 election, and now that Williams is no longer angry at Harper, there are some very good chances the Tories can re-take this riding.
	10 03 26	Micheal 142.68.24.185
Liberal win here! Andrews is a good constituency person, and the votes will show there support for his efforts.Look for the NDP to move into second spot and remain there til at least Harper moves on.
	09 10 03	Dr Bear & Prof Ape 74.13.73.190
The was close last time because of Manning running for the CPC. None the less, the Liberals had no real growth in vote and they won because the NDP stole some of the CPC vote but more so because conservative voters stayed home (unlike elsewhere where it was Liberal voters). We think that the stay at home voters would return to the CPC but other ?Manning voters? will go to other parties. Could the NDP actually creep up to second place and maybe be a challenger in a subsequent electionprediction-go-round?
	09 09 12	99.232.162.133
Re a ?best shot?--yes, Avalon's as critical a starting point as any if CPC want to re-establish a Newfie foothold (and I'll withhold a prediction for that very reason); but let's be honest: relative to what was happening across the province, Fabian Manning running again skewed the '08 result. (Otherwise, it would have been quite plausible for the *NDP*--with an ex-Conservative candidate in Randy Dawe, interestingly enough--to assume second place, instead.) And remember that pre-Manning, John Efford held it solidly for the Liberals--jury's out whether Scott Andrews has, or even needs, an Efford-esque pull to hold...
	09 09 01	binriso 156.34.209.15
Without Manning the CPC probably lose alot of votes, which will likely offset any gains they make letting the Liberals win, although the election after next theyll have a better chance.
	09 09 01	Nick J Boragina 74.14.107.105
Time heals all wounds. The Tories have their best shot right here in Avalon (in the province) but Newfoundlanders are still irked at the federal government. The only way the Tories will win this seat is if there is a spring election, with a much better chance if we wait to the fall of 2010. With a fall 2009 election (as it looks at the moment) the Liberals will retake this seat.
	09 08 30	Stevo 99.251.76.167
Danny Williams called a truce after the 2008 election. His ABC campaign is over and he won't rekindle it, there's no reason to do so. I expect that he'll keep as low a profile in the next federal election as provincial premiers normally do. That said, the reputation of the Harper-led Tories has been tarnished in Newfoundland, probably beyond repair (unfairly, in my opinion, but there's no denying it). I don't see much hope of the party regaining any seats in NF while Harper is leader.
	09 08 27	wyatt 24.235.142.160
If the Tory plea for a majority gains momentum, Newfoundland won't want to be shut out. 3,300 votes isn't safe by any means, and you can bet that the rock will want it's piece of the pie.
	09 08 25	NorthernRaven 130.209.74.226
Now that Manning is in the Senate, unless an exceptional Conservative candidate runs, expect Scott Andrews to hold, especially if Premier Danny Williams runs the ABC campaign again.