Prediction Changed
1:27 PM 13/04/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Blackstrap
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Lynne Yelich

2006 Result:
Lynne Yelich **
19430
Don Kossick
12376
Herta Barron
6841
Mike Fornssler
1334
D.-Jay Krozser
412
Sonje Kristtorn
94

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




Put your political/campaign ad here! See sponsorship details.

07 12 09
207.47.221.126
Patti Gieni will definitely do better than people expect, still, despite how left-wing Saskatoon is (it is), the rural areas of this riding are staunch CPC, and the new suburbs in this riding with probably have a significant CPC vote, enough to ensure CPC victory.
07 09 25 Christopher
70.64.2.19
I think Patti Gieni will do far better for the NDP than people might expect. Conservative popularity is down in SK and Patti has personal popularity in the rural part of the riding and credibility on the environment. Even so there's a big gap to close if she hopes to unseat Lynn Yelich from this seat.
07 09 15
24.81.18.126
Lynne Yellich has been a fairly solid and visible MP in this riding, so I think she will be re-elected. She is also on the ‘doorstep’ of a cabinet position, meaning that since the CPC lacks female cabinet ministers, if ever Harper wanted to add another female in for better representation, Yellich would be a viable and competent choice.
07 06 26 SaskPhoenix
198.169.112.254
I am not going to make a prediction as of now, but with the way things are looking for the Saskatchewan Conservative MPs over the broken equalization promises, their re-election chances have become weaker. If Premier Calvert and public opinion continue against the Tories, the urban Tory MPS could be turfed out by angry voters on election day.
07 04 10 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
Lynne Yelich should easily re-take this simply because this includes a large chunk of rural area which tends to be very conservative. At the same time I think the Tories could face some trouble in other ridings if the Liberals and NDP as they say make the Canadian Wheat Board a major issue. Both parties seem to feel this issue will really hurt the Tories, since although the Conservative policy on the CWB is very popular in Alberta, it is not in Saskatchewan or Manitoba. That being said considering how massively the Tories won the rural parts and the fact they even finished ahead in the urban parts, I cannot see this issue being enough to cause Lynne Yelich to lose her seat, although it may cost her votes.
07 04 09 A.S.
74.99.222.209
Technically, this riding has never gone left wing before because it didn't really exist before 1997's Sask electoral boundary transformations. But most if not all of its constituent parts (including, of course, SE Saskatoon) were part of federal NDP constituencies as recently as 1988; so, it's a deceptive claim to make. Still, speaking of the present day, given how much ground the NDP and Grits have to recover elsewhere in Sask, Blackstrap's relatively low in the pecking order; and those two ‘left wing’ parties would wind up cancelling themselves out, anyway...
07 04 07
24.81.18.126
Lynne Yelich will have little problem getting re-elected here. She's been MP for several years now, is well known, and has taken post as a parliamentary secretary. She won by a 7000+ vote margin and almost captured 50% of the vote. Besides, this riding has never gone left wing before.



Submit Information here

Provincial Index
Federal Election - 2007
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Milton Chan, 1999-2007 - Email Webmaster