Prediction Changed
10:33 AM 02/04/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Battlefords-Lloydminster
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Gerry Ritz

2006 Result:
Gerry Ritz **
16491
Elgin Wayne Wyatt
4829
Jim Pankiw
4396
Dominic LaPlante
3901
Norbert Kratchmer
637
Harold Stephan
306

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 02 26 A.S.
99.233.96.153
Would the Canadian Wheat Board issue mean as much now compared to a hypothetical 2007 election? In any case, CPC disappointment here would involve a Pankiwless underpolling of 2006's Pankiw-punk'd result--that's it.
07 08 24 SaskPhoenix
198.169.112.254
Gerry Ritz has been appointed as the new Agriculture minister in the cabinet shuffle. That will boost his profile in his riding and solidify his chances of holding onto his seat - not that he was ever in any danger of being unseated though.
Saskatchewan's new senior cabinet minister, higher profile, a new portfolio that is a perfect match for a rural riding - all point to surefire Conservative win in Battlefords-Lloydminster.
07 04 02 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
A very safe Conservative riding so Gerry Ritz should easily win, although even though I expect him to gain some of Pankiw's votes, his stance on the Canadian Wheat Board, while popular in Alberta, is not exactly popular in Saskatchewan. Still he won by such a massive margin that a few disenfranchised wheat and barley farmers will only make a minor dent.
07 03 25 GM
68.144.68.132
Another easy Conservative victory - In 2006, even with Jim Pankiw sucking down almost 15% of the vote, Gerry Ritz scored over 50%.



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