Prediction Changed
3:46 PM 07/04/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Kildonan-St. Paul
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Joy Smith

2006 Result:
Joy Smith **
17524
Terry Duguid
13597
Evelyn Myskiw
8193
Colleen Zobel
1101
Eduard Hiebert
213

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 02 11 A.S.
99.233.96.153
If the Liberals show some kind of BC-esque contrarian upswing (and CPC a counter-contrarian downswing) in Manitoba, this'd be one to watch, especially as Joy Smith's conservatism seems anachronistic for a seat within Winnipeg city limits--and remember that she barely won in 2004. But if it's a status-quo kind of election, she's likely to stay, albeit a bit in spite of herself.
07 04 04 Nick J Boragina
74.12.71.10
The tories did very well in Manitoba last time, and although the polls show they might not win this next election with ease, or even at all, they do show a consistent strong trend towards the conservatives in Manitoba and the west as a whole. Last election this one might have been somewhat close, this election it will be even less so. Smith will go back to the commons.



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