Prediction Changed
3:34 PM 29/03/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

York-Simcoe
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Hon. Peter Van Loan

2006 Result:
Peter Van Loan **
25685
Kate Wilson
16456
Sylvia Gerl
7139
John Dewar
3719
Vicki Gunn
595

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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07 11 28 R.O.
209.91.149.245
Well its no doubt that Mcguinty’s arguing with Ottawa is intended to cause trouble for conservative mp’s. but we need to look at the facts here , first Peter Van Loan is running in york-simcoe a riding made up of the 4 townships between barrie and newmarket. Second he easily won this riding in 04 and 06 and liberals ran same candidate Kate Wilson both times. She is not running again and liberal nomination was handed to Judith Moses who is not even from riding. Third he is now in cabinet and a higher profile mp than he was before all equals conservative hold.
07 11 25 MH
76.64.189.9
Given Mr. Van Loan's recent contemptuous comments on Mr. McGuinty's effort to get a fair deal for Ontario (read the 905 belt) where Parliamentary seats are concerned, I wonder if he is quite as safe as earlier contributors think. In apparently writing off Ontario, the Conservatives may also be writing off Mr. Van Loan.
07 04 02 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
On the very edge of the GTA, this riding is now mainly made up of people who want to be close to the city, but don't want to actually live in the city. This demographic generally tends to go for parties on the right. Although they are few exurbs in Canada, they are quite common in the US such as Eastern Long Island and Orange County, New York and those areas generally go Republican. Here in Canada, the trend seems to be similiar as once you get out of the more urban parts of the 905 belt, the Conservatives start winning by larger margins.
07 03 27 Angry Ontarian
24.36.172.204
Chalk this one up for Stephen Harper and Peter Van Loan. Safe Conservative riding + Cabinet portfolio = huge CPC win.
07 03 24 RF
74.120.155.163
With Peter Van Loan becoming a Cabinet Minister, and his incumbency, this should be an easy riding for him. This riding is also made mostly of WASP voters, and it is a rural riding - perfect for a CPC landslide. Watch for 50%+ in this riding.



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