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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
| TBA |
Incumbent: |
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Hon. Jim Flaherty |
2006 Result:
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 | 07 05 28 |
Durham Guy 74.13.127.245 |
| This one is really a given. The Tories would have to win only 2 seats again before Flaherty would lose. |
 | 07 04 28 |
A.S. 74.99.222.209 |
| Single out any GTA seat where a gain in CPC support is guaranteed to no longer be tentative, and it's this one. And beyond Flaherty's own ministerial virtues, Whitby-Oshawa itself strikes some kind of equipoised embodied Tory-target perfection: a solidly growing yet solidly centred middle-class case-study suburban seat that doesn't seem ‘out of hand’ one way or the other. *This* is the Canada whose solar plexus Stephen Harper is aiming for point blank. Like, forget Alberta; that's already in the bag. Ditto with the more rural/bible-belt/redneck/exurban-affluent Tory seats elsewhere in Ontario. The real fulcrum's here. And to understand why, one must also understand how it not-so-irrationally extrapolates out of what, in pre-Flaherty days, was a perfectly average puzzle piece within the Chretien/Martin Liberal GTA... |
 | 07 03 28 |
Rey D.R. 130.15.234.201 |
| At this point, without a high profile Liberal candidate and the Conservative doing well in the polls... conventional wisdom is that locally well-liked Finance Ministers don't lose their seats. |
 | 07 03 21 |
905er 70.51.90.97 |
| No Liberal candidate yet, big, national profile for Jim Flaherty, limited diversity in Whitby and northern Oshawa = safe Conservative riding. |
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