Prediction Changed
3:32 PM 29/03/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Cheryl Gallant

2006 Result:
Cheryl Gallant **
29923
Don Lindsay
12532
Sue McSheffrey
6509
Gordon Scott McLeod
1605
Paul Kelly
1304

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




Put your political/campaign ad here! See sponsorship details.

08 03 14 Dr Bear & Prof Ape
76.64.121.43
A.S.: Living in the adjacent riding to the north (at least Dr Bear does now), you seldom hear about Chalk River (except in the national news). Driving down that way, if you blink, you'll miss the town. The larger population base (and voting base) is in the further southern communities closer to Ottawa. In many of these communities, stopping SSM is (and other such so-con issues) a far more important issue that nuclear safety. In light of that, we don't think the whole Chalk River fuss will have any impact what so ever and Gallant keeps on winning with gianormous margins.
08 02 02 A.S.
99.233.96.153
The seat includes Chalk River, and nobody's yet speculated on what impact that whole fuss might have? Then again, Cheryl Gallant's the sort who'd likely withstand a Chalk River crisis as efficiently as, provincially, Bill Murdoch withstood the Walkerton crisis...
07 04 02 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
Cheryl Gallant is a huge liability to the CPC as a whole, but her hard right views seem to help her more than hurt her here. I can only assume we are seeing what we saw with the ADQ in Quebec, otherwise rural regions are tired of Toronto calling all the shots and will choose which ever candidate is the most opposite to your stereotypical Torontonian, which Cheryl Gallant certainly is.
07 04 02 Stevo
66.11.64.1
safest Conservative seat in the province, part of the Eastern Ontario bluewave that claimed every seat in the region in 2006 save Kingston and a couple inner-city Ottawa ridings. Cheryl Gallant is no more nutty in her right-wing rhetoric than Judy Sgro and Heddy Fry are in their left-wing rhetoric - but unlike the latter two, Gallant won't be getting a Cabinet post for her efforts.
07 04 01 A.S.
74.99.222.209
Hard to believe that a scant ten years ago, a ReformAllianceConservative win in RNP seemed near-impossible--in effect, what happened was a preview of the Adequiste phenomenon: Quebec-bordering hinterland with a French-Canadian/Roman Catholic accent that once appeared so unassailably ‘left’, turned out to have a good deal of Herouxville-style pur laine populist fear to it. So, not only did Cheryl Gallant conquer the turf, she solidified it through a rendition of Super Marioesque fear-fanning--but coarser, given that this is English rather than French Canada. Surely, Stephen Harper must have been watching and strategizing long ago; even if Cheryl Gallant is laughable as a cabinet prospect, she's a cornerstone of her party's overall electoral strategy. If that sounds ominous, maybe it is. But she'll only be defeated if the party's wiped out in Ontario
07 03 25 G. Kennedy (not that one)
65.95.110.153
Cheryl Gallant has garnered a reputation as one of the most laughable MPs in the House of Commons. But that doesn't matter in this riding, which she managed to win in 2000 (!) and seems deadset in turning more conservative by the hour.
07 03 24 Daniel
156.34.66.131
Given that this was one of only two ridings in Ontario that the Alliance won in 2000, and that Cheryl Gallant has been MP ever since, I'm quite sure the Conservatives will have no problem holding this seat.



Submit Information here

Provincial Index
Federal Election - 2007
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Milton Chan, 1999-2007 - Email Webmaster