08 05 04	binriso 156.34.209.176
Pretty sure that if Peter Adams had ran here last time he would’ve won. With a 7000 vote difference from 04, that was probably enough to ensure his survival. This is a pretty likely Conservative hold next time, the only thing that will hurt them is if the NDP vote goes down significantly, which will benefit the Liberals.
	08 05 03	Peg Leg Pete 99.234.197.75
You can't ignore the impact of the GO-TRAIN announcement in Peterborough. It made it clear that Dean Del Mastro (with the help of Jim Flaherty) can deliver a big ticket item for his riding. So despite Dean's history of often putting his foot in his mouth, he goes into the next campaign with a clear advantage. Another thing Del Mastro has going for him is who terribly weak Liberal candidate Betsy McGregor has turned out to be. She has no profile in the riding and hasn't managed to draw any media attention to herself. I also don't see the rural section of this riding providing very many votes for McGregor while Del Mastro cleans up there. The NDP will end up in third place as they always do in Peterborough and I predict Dean Del Mastro wins easily by 4000 votes. It won't be close.
	08 04 28	Jeff Westlake 24.235.139.36
Del Mastro will be very tough to beat whenever this election is called. He has secured investments in a number of areas his predecessor could not, the most significant of which are the rail link to Toronto, affordable housing and Trent-Severn Waterway. He also has an extreme advantage given the riding's history as a bellweather riding.
	08 04 08	R.O. 209.91.149.199
Still think conservative mp Dean Del Mastro has the advantage here for a couple of reasons. One being the liberals have a new candidate Betsy Mcgregor but for whatever reasons they seem to be having a hard time filling in the gap left by Peter Adams who was mp for a number of years. Also the riding of Peterborough is a mixed urban and rural riding its the type the conservatives can do good in but it still does have a significant liberal and ndp base. The fact its surrounded by other conservative ridings and high profile mps also helps. The train announcement for this area ads an interesting issue into the next campaign here for sure and I think some in the gta do not see a need but in a growing city like Peterborough there is in fact a need for this service.
	08 03 25	PTBO Pundit 24.235.145.25
While Del Mastro works hard, lets not forget that he foolishly accused the Liberals of organizing a conspiracy around him, he has been consistently slammed for abusing tax payer's money for excessive partisan attacks and his office often can't even spell properly in his mail outs. The reality is that the rail link is obviously intended to make up for this embarrassing M.P. who may well loose this swing riding, now that he is facing a more serious Liberal Candidate. I change my vote to ‘too close to call...’
	08 03 22	I'm Always Right 24.150.237.186
The Conservatives bought Peterborough with the Go Train announcement in the recent federal budget. The riding is theirs, they paid for it and they'll hold it. I would point out that anyone who thinks the Conservatives believes they have any chance of picking up seats in the western GTA needs to notice how there was nothing to help improve Go service there where there's actually a need. Conservative Del Masto can relax. His victory is in the bag.
	08 03 15	Curley, Larry and Moe 24.244.244.114
All three of us agree that when Finance Minister Flaherty gave Peterborough a GO-Train route in the last budget, the Conservatives locked up Peterborough. Nobody, including the three of us saw this announcement coming. Someone in the PM's office like Dean Del Mastro. How else can you explain Flaherty's gift to Dean. Look for Del Mastro to ride the GO-Train announcement to victory. The Liberals know this riding is gone, thanks to the budget.
	07 11 17	Stevo 70.53.77.49
I thought Peterborough would stay Liberal in 2006, but true to form, Peterborough's reliable record as *the* #1 bellweather riding in Canada came through, and it voted with the overall winning party. With the Liberals and Tories consistently within the margin of error of eachother in recent polls, Peterborough similarly remains too close to call at this point.
	07 04 15	Matt 74.14.130.151
The Greens are running a surprisingly strong candidate this time around. The Greens will scrape off a lot of the voters from other candidates and if the campaign is strong enough they could spoil the vote?
	07 04 09	A.S. 74.99.222.209
Unless we start seeing regular Tory landslide polling margins in Ontario alone, don't be so sure about ‘any day now’--remember that '06 saw local Liberal beleaguerment, too. And moreover, name recognition or no name recognition, when it comes to ‘the usual’ for the NDP in Peterborough, 15% is lowballing it unless we're set for 90s-style sagging support or the Liz May Greens usurping a lot of that Trent-town granola vote. That Linda Slavin hit 25% wasn't just a quality-candidate fluke; there's a latently strong NDP-germane base here, and if anything, the continued post-Peter Adams left-Liberal vacuum combined with Del Mastro's weaknesses ought to passively help rather than hurt the Peterborough NDP--that is, if it doesn't bypass it altogether en route to the Greens, for whatever none-of-the-above reason. Not that Del Mastro doesn't have the incumbent (and incumbent government) advantage; but just because a Liberal is disillusioned doesn't mean he/she is automatically going Tory, esp. when said Tory is perceived as ‘worse’. Who knows, if the Liberal situation is truly catastrophic beyond repair, the NDP treads water and the Greens surge, Peterborough might be offering us a Saanich-Gulf Islands kind of ‘solid Tory win’ result...
	07 04 07	PTBO Pundit 24.235.147.205
I predict a Conservative win. I suspect that the site managers will mark this a conservative prediction any day now. The Liberals have never been more divided in this riding. The 3-way Liberal nomination contest has been nothing short of an embarrassing catastrophe. A legal challenge cancelled the nomination meeting, thus infuriating the entire local membership. They will be lucky to have a candidate before the writ is dropped. While Del Mastro has had some serious controversies over his first term, his party at least seems united compared to the Liberals. The NDP candidate has little name recognition and will likely draw the usual 15%.
	07 04 03	Daniel 156.34.85.213
As long as the Conservatives remain competitive in Ontario, they should be able to retain this riding. The Liberals have a shot, but a Grit victory would probably have to come as a result of a national trend toward a Liberal win in the final days of the election campaign (given this riding's almost spotless bellweather-status).
	07 04 03	Initial 24.235.135.194
Del Mastro is not a strong incumbent (as you can probably tell from the weekly flyers). Slavin is out of the running for the NDP and I doubt her predecessor will have her popularity. The Liberal Party could win this seat easily should the next candidate play his/her cards right.
	07 03 29	M. Lunn 74.99.130.109
This is a bellwether riding and has gone for the winner in 11 of the last 12 elections and likely will once again. Part of the reason for this is it is a mixed rural/urban riding so Peterborough will go Liberal, while the rural parts will go Conservative.