07 10 15	T.V. 209.202.78.177
Mordue was about as good a candidate as the Liberals could hope to get, and he still lost by ten thousand votes. The high NDP vote and anti-Liberal sentiment last campaign probably hurt, and there's no way that Mackenzie will win by as much this time, but the deficit is too much for the Liberals to overcome. Population growth in Woodstock along with the Toyota plant might slowly change things.
	07 10 01	rbgs 67.158.66.91
The Liberals are having a difficult time finding anyone to run. Greig Mordue did a credible job last time around, but was disheartened by his 10,000 vote deficit against Dave Mackenzie and nobody expects him to run again. Murray Coulter, who fared better the election before, is also clearly not going to run again. The NDP have chosen Diane Abbott, a nice young woman but a relative neophyte. Her predecessor, Zoe Kirschner, had built up steady gains by running two or three consecutive times. Whether Diane can retain that support and run a good campaign remains to be seen. If her support collapsed, a good Liberal candidate might pick it up, but the demographics will have to change before the Liberals beat Dave Mackenzie. That said, Dave Mackenzie could take some lessons from his provincial counterpart, Ernie Hardeman. He is not seen out-and-about in the riding much, and he has a very low profile in the Government caucus. A strong candidate from either the NDP or the Liberals could really steal some of his fire. As Hardeman would tell you, there is no such thing as a sure thing.
	07 09 11	Nick J Boragina 74.14.16.208
I am familiar with the history of this riding, and for a time, it was the safest riding in Ontario for the PC Party, federally and provincially. While things might change in the future, we are not there just yet. This riding will continue it’s trend of the past century and vote Tory.
	07 04 27	A.S. 74.99.222.209
Solid as he is, Mackenzie gained less than 2 points in '06 over '04; perhaps it was natural electoral slacking off (cf. Jack Layton's similarly anaemic share gain), or maybe it was because he had a fairly credible Grit opponent, Toyota exec Grieg Mordue--how's that for Buzz Hargrove Liberalism? (Though it didn't stop the NDP from gaining another 3 pts in share.) In the long term, the growing industrialization of the 401 corridor might pose a threat (just as free trade nearly did in '88); but for now, Oxford's just so perfectly comfily Tory, wherein, as Mackenzie's electoral history proves, ‘Progressive’ or ‘Reform’ or ‘Alliance’ are but incidental labels.
	07 04 02	M. Lunn 74.99.130.109
Even in 1997 and 2000, Dave MacKenzie almost won this and that was without the 25% who went Reform/Alliance. This is on the whole a very safe conservative riding and although the Toyota plant in Woodstock might weaken their support a bit there, the rest of the riding will go for the Conservatives in large enough numbers to hold this one.
	07 03 25	Mike Medeiros 24.141.57.62
Most likely one of the safest Conservative seats in the Province. Dave MacKenzie won by almost 10000 votes in the last election, and 6000 in the election before that. This is also a very rural and traditionally Conservative riding. I don't see that changing any time soon and I could confidently say this will go to the Conservatives once again.