08 04 04	binriso 156.34.209.176
Milliken or not, the CPC have probably almost hit the ceiling in this riding or are close to it. The Greens also do surprisingly well and the NDP as well in recent years, but there?s no doubt that it stays Liberals unless the Tories get a superstar and the NDP get a good candidate as well to split from the Liberals, and the election is held outside the school year and Harper is at ~45% in Ontario and well ahead of the Liberals. Pretty unlikely.
	08 03 15	Stevo 76.64.60.154
I can't understand the unwarranted optimism of the two ?Initials? below. Yes, Milliken's departure means that there will actually be a race here, but it's unreal to predict a Conservative win at this point. You'd think they'd at least wait to see who the Liberals nominate! Kinston is a very left-leaning town and Queen's University students make up a pretty good chunk of the population. Although Queen's is perhaps less lefty than other Ontario universities, don't count on campus Conservative clubs to make any sort of difference.
	08 03 01	Initial 69.156.146.140
Peter Milliken has now publicly stated that he won't be around for too much longer, and given that we clearly won't have an election until the fall at the earliest, many here in Kingston are already talking about a new Liberal candidate. The Conservatives have been out door-knocking since early January and have an unusually strong candidate, Brian Abrams, who has the deep red tory roots in this community that won Flora Macdonald this seat many years ago. His sons form The Abrams Brothers band, who are quite famous in the area, and he has deep connections throughout the city. If the rumours are true and Milliken retires, look for Abrams to win with a strong campaign on the ground.
	08 03 10	Initial 130.15.43.249
Peter Milliken has openly mused to the local papers about leaving, and given that we won't have an election until at least the fall, odds are better that this is the case. With no heir apparent, and his personal popularity driving a lot of his vote, Conservative Candidate Brian Abrams will give any new Liberal candidate a run for his money. This seat will go if Harper's numbers go up nationwide, not necessarily in majority numbers.
	07 06 03	King of Kensington 70.52.186.177
Kind of a Canadian counterpart of Ithaca and Tompkins County in the Finger Lakes region, Kingston is a very liberal city in conservative Eastern Ontario. This rules out this riding for the Conservatives despite - or perhaps because of - its Red Tory past. If the former city of Kingston was larger it could be a seat like Halifax or Victoria - but because it isn't and its outskirts are more conservative or at least middle-of-the-road - it won't be going NDP anytime soon either. Even if Peter Milliken is personally popular, this is now a Liberal stronghold.
	07 05 03	A.S. 74.99.222.209
For Milliken, '06's 46% counts as ‘severely depressed’. Above all, keep in mind that if the Liberal share *really* plummets (more likely in Milliken's absence), today's equivalent of the old Flora Red Tory element could more likely swing NDP/Green than Tory--Kingston's *that* kind of seat. (Keep that in mind, you poli-sci types who're so fond of pigeonholing the so-called conservative student body at Queens. This is Queens, not Bob Jones.)
	07 03 29	M. Lunn 74.99.130.109
I would say this is a safe Liberal riding more because of the demographics rather than Miliken's popularity, although he is well liked. Unlike the two neighbouring ridings, this has a major university, a sizeable civil service, and not a large religious community like the neighbouring ridings do. In addition the adjacent parts in Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox & Addington, the Liberals did quite well. The only got clobbered in that riding since the parts further North went over 60% Conservative and the Liberals were in the teens in those sections.
	07 03 25	G. Kennedy 65.95.110.153
In the last election, every seat in southeastern Ontario went Tory except three in Ottawa's core and this one here in Kingston where Milliken easily maintained his 10000+ vote victory margin. That says quite something about the popularity of the Speaker of the House in his hometown. An easy seventh term is on the way.