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 | 08 04 22 |
King of Kensington 70.52.180.204 |
| This exurban GTA seat is very safe for the Conservatives. Even though the Libs fared best in Bolton, that doesn't mean much as the Conservatives won everywhere in the riding. Italian Canadians are increasingly assimilated and are less Liberal the further you get from Toronto; it's unlikely they voted as a bloc in this particular riding. |
 | 07 12 11 |
T.V. 209.202.78.177 |
| The likelihood of a Green second place will be mitigated by the strong environmentalist credentials of the Liberal candidate. He would be a pretty good choice in any other riding. Too bad he doesn't have a chance here. Right now, this is one of the safest five Tory seats in the province. This will change in the future, though, as Caledon suburbanizes. Italians moving from Woodbridge to Bolton and redistributing out Dufferin could in time turn this riding into another Liberal 905 bastion. |
 | 07 12 10 |
R.O. 66.186.79.8 |
| Going to say conservative hold for longtime mpp/mp David Tilson . sure this riding has changed a bit and Orangeville has grown but its still largely the same riding. David Tilson is a well known mp and compare that to liberals who seem to run someone new here each election. And also in last election liberal vote actually went down from 04 election and that was after riding saw some new houses pop up and new residents move here. |
 | 07 04 07 |
A.S. 74.99.222.209 |
| Since this is where Greens had their best Ontario result in '04 and their third best in '06, for all we know this could be a May-era ‘second place Green’ prospect--mitigating against that, however, is that the GTA sprawl effect renders too much of Bolton and S Caledon terminally Liberal-leaning. If it were Dufferin without Caledon, maybe... |
 | 07 04 02 |
M. Lunn 74.99.130.109 |
| Unlike the other 905 belt ridings which are mostly surburban, this is more rural/exurban and lacks the diversity some of the other 905 ridings do, so easy Tory win here. |
 | 07 03 28 |
Angry Ontarian 24.36.172.204 |
| David Tilson has Dufferin-Caledon in the bag. A 9,000 vote plurality + incumbency + natural blue riding + strong organizational base built by Ontario PC leaders who hold the seat at Queen's Park = strong win for Conservatives. |