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 | 07 11 14 |
seasaw 99.225.19.235 |
| Mr Silva can go on vacation during the campaign and still win. With all due respect to all of the other candidates, the Liberals can run a fence post in the riding and CPC and NDP can run Jesus Christ and Mother Theresa and the fencepost will still win, and Mr Silva is certainly no fencepost, he's a very good MP. Remember, Charles Caccia held this seat for the Libs for 36 years and Walter Gordon for 30 years before that. Now it is Mario Silva's turn, and he'll keep winning for as long as he keeps his name on the ballot. |
 | 07 10 25 |
ciccio picolo 74.14.235.63 |
| If Peter Fereira runs in Davenport Federally, not only will he lose federally as well as Provincially, He will be a two time loser. nobody can beet Mario Silva, even if the Liberals lose everywhere else, Davenport will always be a Liberal seat... |
 | 07 03 01 |
John Mc Donald 213.22.172.224 |
| Peter Ferreira had a much better than expected provincial election result. Davenport is a left-wing riding and with the debacle of the federal Liberals, the NDP will pick up this riding. Don't forget the next federal poll is the first in many years the Liberals are not the incumbent party, and they have no prospects to sweep to power in the following years unless in a Liberal-NDP coalition government. But it is still too close to call. |
 | 07 05 04 |
Seamus 206.130.173.39 |
| Silva's seat UNLESS north-end dynamo Alejandra Bravo runs. Lost to Cesar Palacio in the north-end Ward 17 by only 281 votes. The north is the Liberal's fortress. However, Bravo proved that she can attract Liberal vote west of Caledonia and north of Dufferin. The south, represented at City Hall by TTC Chair and former Federal NDP president Adam Giambrone, is yuppifying, as the older Portuguese and Italian families leave and younger Anglo families replace them. This will only help a candidate like Bravo. Mario Silva better hope she sits this one out. |
 | 07 04 16 |
King of Kensington 74.98.171.205 |
Despite a big surge in NDP support, this is still a very safe Liberal seat. The NDP does well in the increasingly ‘creative class’, gentrifying Ward 18 part represented by Adam Giambrone on Council. However Ward 17 represented by Cesar Palacio includes overwhelmingly Liberal polls in the never-to-be-trendy far NW of the old city of Toronto and the former township/borough of York, which will keep this a safe Liberal seat for a long time to come. Paul Ferreira's surprise byelection victory in York South may make this seat competitive provincially, however. |
 | 07 04 15 |
A.S. 74.99.222.209 |
| Thanks to Jack Layton's astute feasting off Charles Caccia's electoral corpse, Davenport's quickly gone from being one of the 2-3-4 safest Liberal seats in Toronto to perhaps one of the 2-3-4 most vulnerable of those remaining. It still is, even if the NDP line slackened oh-so-slightly w/Gord Perks in '06 (yes, all Dufferin Grove greeny chattering-class aside, ethnicity still matters). But that's only if the Dippers have strong default wind in their sails--my feeling is, they may be too preoccupied with saving Peggy Nash's skin this time... |
 | 07 04 10 |
M. Lunn 74.99.130.109 |
| This is a left leaning riding and would naturally seem like a target for the NDP, but the NDP is not quite as strong as in Toronto-Danforth or Trinity-Spadina, while with the Conservatives being practically non-existent they cannot come up the middle either due to the Conservatives taking away some Blue Liberal votes, therefore even if the NDP gets as high as 40% (which is highly unlikely) they would still lose this one. |
 | 07 03 28 |
Daniel 74.99.101.7 |
| Mario Silva actually increased his vote percentage and his total vote count in 2006 over 2004. Meanwhile, Gord Perks, a well known NDP candidate who came in second is not running again having been elected a city councillor. Mario will keep this seat for sure. |
 | 07 03 24 |
RF 74.120.155.163 |
| Easy Liberal win. The New Democrats couldn't overcome the incumbent in the last election, and they certainly won't now. It's not even worth mentioning the CPC in this poor, immigrant riding. |