08 03 17	Durham Gal 99.231.30.154
A lot has happened in the political world in Durham Riding, in fact all of Durham Region. since the projections took place. One of the prime nemesis for the tories now is the Whitby Minister. He has done more harm to the conservatives than Stephen Harper Fla will be a millstone around conservatives necks. I would be interested to hear from Durham Region commuters alone who watch Fla fund rail transit to skirt his riding to the tune of one hundred and fifty thousand dollars per passenger, while Bowmanville, Courtice, Oshawa, Whitby, Ajax, Pickering, can crowd onto to the Go.
	08 02 29	R.O. 209.91.149.209
This seat has been federally conservative since 04 election when Bev Oda was first elected. The riding was only liberal during there best years and liberal mp Alex Shepherd retired before he had to face off with a conservative candidate. Both liberal candidates ( Doug Moffat and Tim Lang ) which have ran against Bev Oda have not been able to have much of an impact in this mostly rural and small town riding, which might be close to the gta but is more or less part of central Ontario. In next election liberals will again run a new candidate Bryan Ransom the 3rd one to run against this mp in as many elections.
	07 12 11	T.V. 209.202.78.177
It would take a Liberal majority to swing this one their way, and I can't see that happening. I doubt Oda brings too many votes to the Tories personally, though her ministerial profile might help a bit. It's interesting to note, though, that a number of Liberal ridings in the GTA are TCTC with similar margins last election. I'd say that Durham is about as likely to go Liberal as one of the Peel ridings is to go Tory: not very likely.
	07 10 30	Dr Bear & Prof Ape 70.51.130.75
So what if BEV ODA was demoted (yes WB, BEV is still in cabinet). People don't vote for cabinet ministers, they vote for local candidates or for party platforms. True, having a portfolio and being successful in it does help, possibly making a difference in a close race. This is certainly not a close race! Ten thousand votes is a heck-of-a-lot! Top it off, the Torys have not lost any steam in Ontario...they haven't gained any traction either. What does that mean? Maybe some seats will flip, but not anything that is from this wide a margin. Oh we can be certain that BEV ODA will be back in the next Conservative caucus.
	07 09 18	WB 209.226.248.171
The Liberals have two excellent nominated candidates to run against BEV ODA... a former minister and the 2004 liberal candidate in this riding... either one would do extremely well against BEV.
	07 09 18	Nick J Boragina 74.13.125.185
New Information: Oda was demoted in Cabinet, because she was seen as a weak minister. While she is still in Cabinet, some have now questioned her ability. Regardless, she should still be able to hold on. She did win on 04 when the Tories only had two dozen seats in Ontario, remember.
	07 07 05	T.S. 70.48.231.185
Although it appears that Oda is looking posed for another victory, the Liberals have recruited a local United Church Minister from Bowmanville to seek the nomination. I wouldn't be surprised if this would change the voting trend in Clarington to be more Liberal.
	07 05 23	A.S. 74.99.222.209
It may be a conservative riding, but what paradoxically helps Oda is that she isn't one of the more conservative Conservatives--look, it's still 905-belt-edge Ontario, anything to hold old Chretien Liberals and PCers and lessen suspicions of ‘agenda’ out there. Perhaps it also makes her ineffectual in Culture, but so what--to be sitting on a 17-point margin over a popular former mayor and MPP pretty much rubber-stamps her for reelection, anyway.
	07 03 30	Angry Ontarian 24.36.172.204
Heritage Minister Bev Oda won Durham by 10,000 votes last time. That's before she had a Cabinet title. No reason to believe she won't return to Ottawa.
	07 03 29	M. Lunn 74.99.130.109
Bev Oda may have provoked a number of controversies, but this is a very conservative riding, probably the most conservative of the Durham ridings, so even if the Liberals make gains in the Durham region, this won't be one of them.